Market Correction Reshapes US Prime Steel Scrap
US prime steel scrap is undergoing a significant market correction as mills reassess contract terms for 2026. Prices for No1 busheling have nearly halved since their April 2022 peak, reflecting abundant supply and reduced scarcity fears. Mills increasingly leverage cheaper spot market options rather than overpay for long-term agreements. Industry insiders report at least 500,000 tons of prime scrap currently idle in Canadian yards, demonstrating that shortages never materialized.
The correction follows years of overcommitment to secure prime scrap, inflated by pandemic-era fears. Buyers now prioritize sustainable pricing and profit margins over top-line volume growth. Premiums that once seemed reasonable, such as AMM plus $50 per ton, are being renegotiated, signaling a more disciplined approach in the US scrap market.
Shifting Leverage and Contract Renegotiations
Mills and scrap suppliers are actively reviewing industrial contracts, with many opting to lower formula pricing or abandon unprofitable agreements. Competitive pressures and prior overpayments have led to a new equilibrium in pricing. Companies previously paying high premiums now find spot market alternatives more economical. Strategic adjustments aim to create sustainable margins while avoiding the “race to the bottom” that characterized prior deals.
Industry participants predict that contract revisions and transparent pricing will stabilize the market by early 2026. These shifts also reflect broader trends toward disciplined procurement and profit-focused scrap trading practices.
SuperMetalPrice Commentary:
The US prime steel scrap market is entering a disciplined phase. Mills are exercising caution, prioritizing cost efficiency and realistic contract terms. This reset offers opportunities for suppliers to align pricing with actual market conditions. Investors should note that long-term sustainability and transparent premiums are becoming central to profitable scrap trading.
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