
Aluminum Price Climbs Amid Middle East Supply Disruptions
Aluminum prices continued their upward trend as Middle East supply disruptions tighten global markets.
Three-month LME futures rose 0.6% to above $3,400 per tonne, approaching a four-year high.
The war in the Middle East disrupted about 9% of global aluminum output, mainly due to Strait of Hormuz closures.
Smelters in Qatar and Bahrain declared force majeure on shipments, restricting finished aluminum from reaching the market.
Rio Tinto responded by offering Japanese buyers a $350 per tonne premium for second-quarter shipments.
This 40% increase represents the highest aluminum premium paid by Japanese buyers since 2015.
Asia Premium Spike and Regional Market Impact
The premium surge highlights how Japan benchmarks aluminum prices for the wider Asia region.
Rising European and U.S. premiums, alongside freight and insurance costs, further pushed the market higher.
Shanghai Futures Exchange premiums also reached the highest level since April 2022, encouraging Chinese exports.
China’s shipments could rise more than 5% from last year, supported by demand from AI and solar panel sectors.
The combined effect of supply disruptions and high regional premiums sustains bullish sentiment for aluminum.
Market participants anticipate further volatility as geopolitical tensions continue to influence global trade flows.
SuperMetalPrice Commentary:
Aluminum’s rally demonstrates the sensitivity of global metals markets to geopolitical disruptions.
Record premiums in Asia reinforce Japan’s pricing influence, while resilient Chinese exports may mitigate tight supply.
Investors and manufacturers should monitor LME futures and regional premiums closely for near-term pricing trends.


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