CBAM Regulation Impacts Metals Trade and Carbon Costs

CBAM Regulation Impacts Metals Trade and Carbon Costs
CBAM Metal Carbon Costs

Understanding CBAM Regulation for Metals Suppliers

The EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) will impose carbon costs on metals imports starting January 2026. This regulation directly affects steel, aluminium, and other key metals, linking import costs to emissions and EU carbon allowance prices. As a result, carbon efficiency becomes as critical as energy, labor, and logistics in maintaining competitiveness. Companies must evaluate exposure, optimize operations, and anticipate rising EUA prices projected to reach €130 per tonne by 2030.

 

Metals Facing the Highest CBAM Exposure

Steel faces the largest CBAM liabilities, accounting for approximately 75% of projected costs. High-intensity steel could see additional costs of €40–€60 per tonne in 2026, while upstream products like steel slab may exceed 20% of import value. Aluminium also faces growing carbon costs, potentially reaching €4.7 billion by 2030 if indirect emissions from electricity are included. Countries like India, China, Türkiye, Ukraine, and Russia bear the highest exposure, creating strategic trade and geopolitical risks for buyers and importers.

 

Strategic Insights on CBAM Regulation

Companies must map CBAM exposure by supplier, facility, and jurisdiction to manage financial and operational risks. By integrating carbon into procurement and pricing decisions, firms can sustain margins and remain competitive under evolving EU regulations. The CBAM framework effectively exports the EU carbon price globally, reshaping supply chains and cost structures across metals sectors.

 

SuperMetalPrice Commentary:

CBAM regulation signals a fundamental shift in global metals trade. Steel and aluminium producers must accelerate carbon mitigation or face rising costs. Strategic planning now requires mapping emissions intensity, supplier exposure, and EU compliance obligations. SuperMetalPrice expects CBAM to drive investment in low-carbon production and create competitive advantages for cleaner producers.

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