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Turkey‘s inflation continued to ease in January, marking the eighth consecutive month of decline. This trend reflects some progress in the country’s battle against high inflation, largely driven by falling food and energy prices.
Inflation Slows in January, But Still High
Turkey’s annual inflation rate for January stood at 42.1%, down from 44.4% in December, according to the Turkish Statistical Institute. While this decline is positive, it still exceeded market expectations of 41.3%.
Key contributors to the slowing inflation included a reduction in food prices, particularly non-alcoholic beverages and food inflation, which fell to 41.8% from 43.6% in December. Housing, electricity, gas, and other fuel prices also experienced a slight drop. Recreation and culture costs saw one of the most significant decreases, with inflation falling to 33.1% from 37.6%. Additionally, the price increase for footwear and clothing slowed to 27.5%, down from 32.3%.
Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, fell to 42.7% in January. This marked its lowest level in two years. However, month-on-month inflation rose by 5%, the highest monthly increase since January 2024. This was largely due to an increase in the minimum wage.
Challenges Persist Despite Decline in Inflation
Despite the easing inflation, Turkey’s economic recovery remains slow. The government has been implementing unconventional strategies, such as reducing interest rates to control inflation. Although this approach has been criticized globally, the central bank recently increased interest rates. This seems to have contributed to the easing inflation.
Consumer confidence in Turkey also showed a slight decline in January, with the index dropping to 81 from 81.3 in December. This indicates a dimmer outlook for the year ahead. Many consumers reported concerns about their financial situations and lower expectations for spending on durable goods.
Although inflation is easing, Turkey’s economy faces ongoing challenges, with inflation still considerably higher than in many other countries.
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